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How To Make Premier League Predictions

by James William

The penultimate weekend of Premier League 2023 brings us two cross-London derbies and a return to action for relegation candidates Leeds United. Big Sam will be looking to give his side a fighting chance of survival and keeping his European dream alive at the same time.

When betting on match markets, always check the team’s line-ups before placing large bets. It can make all the difference.

Current Form

If you’ve been betting on football games for a while, you know how important it is to follow tipsters with a good track record. This will help you avoid the pitfalls of losing money, and it will also give you an edge over your competition. There are many tipsters out there, so finding one that has a solid history of winning is the key.

Manchester City have been hailed as favourites to win the Premier League this season and it’s hard to see anyone else challenging them for top spot. Pep Guardiola’s side may have struggled at times last term, particularly when they were beaten by Liverpool in the final, but the addition of Rodri alongside Fernandinho and Kevin De Bruyne means the champions are looking stronger than ever.

The big question is whether Liverpool can run City close again, something they managed in the latter stages of the season when they added strength to their midfield with Naby Keita and Fabinho. But even if they don’t manage to catch the leaders, the Reds look strong enough to challenge for fourth place.

Arsenal, who slumped to the premier league predictions of the table after a woeful run in March and April, have emerged from their sticky patch with a trio of victories. Their 4-0 win against Everton at the Emirates on Wednesday was their best away performance since beating them 3-0 in March, although they still have a habit of letting in first-half goals.

Tottenham are likely to claim the final Champions League berth, with Manchester United and Arsenal both struggling for form in recent weeks. Chelsea, meanwhile, looks in transition under new boss Frank Lampard and could find themselves outside the top six come the end of the campaign. It’s also worth mentioning that promoted teams often take a while to adjust to the Premier League and it’s not unreasonable to expect them to struggle, although the likes of West Ham and Wolves are unlikely to get relegated. The other two sides to watch out for are Crystal Palace and Newcastle United. Both have a strong squad and their summer transfer business has been shrewd, so they should be able to avoid the drop.

Home vs Away Form

Often the best way to make a Premier League prediction is to study how a team has done at home and away in recent times. This can help you narrow down your options for bets, such as the over/under, correct score and more. To find this data, click on the match you wish to predict and you will be given a selection of options to choose from.

The home and away form option gives you the results of the last six games played by the two teams, along with key stats such as goals scored and conceded in those fixtures. It is important to note that while the results of this data can provide a good indication of who will win, it is not necessarily the most accurate way to make your prediction. A number of factors can influence a game, such as injuries and suspensions, so this is only one piece of information that you should take into account when making your decision.

Manchester City will be a popular pick to win the title after a strong start to the season, but that doesn’t mean they are unstoppable. After all, last season saw Liverpool challenge for the trophy after starting the campaign in pole position before falling off dramatically while Arsenal and Manchester United also made a run for the top four.

A few thousand of you tried to pick the final Premier League table before a ball was kicked back in August, and while most people correctly predicted City finishing first, there was a fair bit of variance elsewhere. Rob Green – the man who picks Premier League scores for BBC Sport on a weekly basis – was one of the better bettors, but even he got it wrong with most of his picks.

Meanwhile, at the bottom end of the table, there is little doubt that the fight for a top-half finish will come down to who performs well on home soil. A big win for Wolves against Brighton would be a major step in the right direction, but their chances of doing that are slim given that the Seagulls have won nine of their last 10 home matches against sides starting the day in the top five (W1 D5).

Key Absences

The Premier League thrills punters every week and offers many betting opportunities. Whether the top teams are fighting it out for the title, trying to qualify for Europe or trying to avoid relegation to the Championship, the Premier League’s top 20 clubs offer plenty of excitement. But be careful when placing your bets – key absences could have a big impact on the outcome of a game.

Manchester City have started the season in flying form and are favourites to win the title again. They are still unbeaten in the Premier League and have been playing some brilliant football under Pep Guardiola. But Liverpool could challenge the champions and be on course to win the title themselves for the first time in their history. The Reds have a squad of players that can go head-to-head with any in the world and they are gaining momentum, winning six out of their last seven games.

Arsenal will also be in the hunt for the top spot and are a good bet to finish second behind City. They are battling it out with Liverpool and Chelsea for the remaining spots in the Champions League and if they can stay in touch with the leaders, they should be in good shape to compete at this level next season.

Tottenham are a threat to finish in the top four. Their home record is excellent and they have won six out of their last seven games. But the club’s future hangs in the balance as Harry Kane’s contract is set to expire at the end of this season. If the England striker is unable to sign a new deal, Spurs might find themselves in a relegation battle.

The two cross-London derbies round out this weekend’s matches. Spurs are expected to win at home against Brentford, which would be their first victory in a Premier League London derby since March 2009. Fulham, on the other hand, have won all three of their previous meetings with Crystal Palace and will be looking for a second straight win to close the gap on fourth-placed Tottenham. But Neeskens Kebano’s absence will be a major blow for the Cottagers.

Fixture List

It’s easy to forget how unpredictable the Premier League can be. Sure, Manchester City were always favourites to win the title, but nobody saw Liverpool chasing them, nor Arsenal and Chelsea faltering so dramatically, or several teams fighting for the final Champions League spot.

That’s why it’s so important to research the team and matchups, as well as the current form of both clubs, before placing your Premier League predictions. Also, don’t be afraid to try something different – you never know when an underdog could surprise you.

For example, a promoted side may be desperate to secure their place in the Europa League by beating a big club like Tottenham or West Ham, so they might be willing to experiment with their lineup and blood new players in high-pressure games. Alternatively, a relegation battle may see managers start to experiment with their tactics and formations, and that could lead to more goals than expected.

Another great way to make your Premier League predictions is by betting on goal markets. The Over 2.5 Goals market, for example, is a good option for fans who are confident that both teams will score at least three goals in the game. However, you should also consider the context of each fixture – for instance, a derby or a clash between two teams that are both fighting for survival in the top half could result in a low-scoring affair.

So, with that in mind, let’s take a look at the fixtures for this weekend’s round of matches.

First up, we’ve got a pair of cross-London derbies, with both sides in the hunt for an automatic place in the top four. Tottenham (48.7%) are favourites to beat Brentford (56.7%) and end the Bees’ unbeaten record in Premier League London derbies, while Leeds United (37.1%) are hoping to keep their slim hopes of avoiding relegation alive with a win against Bournemouth.


Predicting Premier League outcomes is a challenging task due to the unpredictable nature of football. Many factors, such as team form, injuries, managerial changes, and player performances, can significantly influence the results of matches. While statistical analysis and past performance data can aid in making predictions, there will always be an element of uncertainty. Football fans and pundits alike can enjoy speculating on potential outcomes, but it’s essential to remember that anything can happen on the pitch, making the Premier League one of the most exciting and competitive football leagues in the world.


  1. Can statistical analysis reliably predict Premier League results? While statistical analysis can provide valuable insights into team performance and trends, it cannot guarantee accurate predictions for Premier League matches. Football is a dynamic sport with numerous variables at play, making it difficult to account for all factors in statistical models. While data-driven approaches can improve the likelihood of making informed predictions, unexpected events and individual player performances can significantly influence the final outcome.
  2. Are there any dark horse teams that could surprise everyone in the Premier League? Yes, every season in the Premier League, there are often dark horse teams that exceed expectations and surprise fans and pundits alike. These are typically teams that are not among the traditional top contenders but have a strong squad, an effective tactical approach, and good form. Such teams may not be expected to win the title but can challenge for top positions or even qualify for European competitions. Their success often depends on factors such as injuries, teamwork, and the ability to perform consistently throughout the season. These surprises add to the excitement and competitiveness of the Premier League.

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